Natural gas edges mildly lower today but recovers quickly. Outlook remains unchanged. Some more sideway trading would be seen in range of 3.743/4.429. But after all, rise from 3.255 is in favor to continue as long as 3.743 support holds. Break of 4.249 will target falling trend line resistance (now at 4.4). However, break of 3.743 support will indicate that rebound is finished and flip bias back to the downside for retesting this low.
In the bigger picture, current development raises the possibility that fall from 6.108 has indeed finished with three waves down to 3.255, and failed 100% projection of 6.108 to 3.81 from 5.194 at 2.896. That is, it's merely a correction to rebound from 2.409. There is no confirmation of reversal yet and key focus will be on mentioned trend line resistance from 6.108, now at around 4.4 level. Sustained break there will likely pave the way the another high above 6.108 in medium term. Though, a break below 3.255 will turn focus back to 2.409 low instead.
Nymex Natural Gas Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart
Nymex Natural Gas Continuous Contract Daily Chart
Latest Analysis from this Author
Economic Calendar 11/17/10 (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 14:18 ET)Gold Daily Technical Outlook (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 06:48 ET)Silver Daily Technical Outlook (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 06:48 ET)Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 06:47 ET)Natural Gas Daily Technical Outlook (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 06:47 ET)Risk Appetite Wanes on Rate Hike Speculations (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 04:39 ET)Economic Calendar 11/16/10 (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 02:21 ET)Near-term Negative Sentiment Remains amid Doubts o... (Tuesday, 16 November 2010 00:56 ET)Narrow-trading Continues ahead of US Retail Sales (Monday, 15 November 2010 06:50 ET)Silver Daily Technical Outlook (Monday, 15 November 2010 06:48 ET)
No comments:
Post a Comment