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Gold Fields sees strong fundamentals for gold price
Gold Fields, the world’s fourth-largest listed gold miner, sees strong fundamentals for the sector, although rising electricity prices in South Africa and a strong rand were strong headwinds.
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HB FRANKFURT. The stronger dollar has slowed down on Tuesday the soaring price of gold. Generally regarded as safe haven precious metal prices were down by 0.4 percent per troy ounce on $ 1,347 after the price was in the past week rose to a record high of 1364 dollars.
The U.S. currency made good ground against the euro, as investors speculated that the volume of a further cash injection by the U.S. central bank could be lower than expected. The euro fell to $ 1.3774 and at times, its lowest level in a week.
Given the uncertain global economic prospects of the gold price should be according to estimates by analysts, but only briefly under pressure. The inflation is still increasing, and the waning market confidence in the stability of the monetary system, said Mike Ullman, CEO of specializing in gold and commodity investments investment house ERA Resources. "As a reserve currency, gold will therefore learn more in the coming years attention."
The recovery in the dollar on Tuesday also expressed on the oil price. Ahead of the OPEC meeting on Thursday, Saudi Arabia has signaled that the present production capacity is maintained. According to traders, investors focused again after this statement on the foreign exchange market developments.
With a stronger dollar, oil for investors from other currency areas is more expensive, and reducing their demand. A barrel of U.S. WTI prices were down by 0.5 percent to $ 81.84. The North Sea Brent crude cost $ 83.44 and which is 0.3 cents less than in the previous day’s late business.
After the sharp gains the previous day, investors were on Tuesday copper on the left. The price for a ton of the industrial metal prices were in the top 1.5 percent to $ 8,165. Dealer justified the price drop with disappointed expectations of investors in the economic development in China and the U.S..
Doubts about the future growth of China has been fueled by tighter lending rules for some large Chinese banks. Also who may be expecting too much from the economic aid from the U.S. central bank pushed the demand. "It’s the broad concern that the hopes may be far been the reality," said Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, chief analyst at Danske Bank. The copper price has risen since his eight-month low in June, just over 30 percent.
On the wheat market, it went to the recent price rally to a little more relaxed: the agricultural commodity was 0.6 per cent to 7.05 per bushel for dollars. Corn hovered around his day rate of 5.55 dollars. Recent estimates by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the world grain harvest this year remain below expectations, had driven the prices of agricultural commodities to new highs recently.
Tags: foreign exchange market, precious metal prices, commodity investments, wti prices, global economic prospects Wednesday, October 13th, 2010 at 3:12 amYou can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.Ben Bernanke has no sure fire policy solution for economic stagnation. QE2, the $1 trillion quantitative easing expected, hoped for, prayed for, gossiped about, will only pour money into an economy that has no use for it. There is already $1.8 trillion cash on corporate balance sheets, $2 trillion cash in money market mutual funds and over $1 trillion reserves in commercial banks– a total of $4.8 trillion unused cash sitting silent. Creating no jobs, no consumer purchases.
The upshot will only drive down the dollar and drive up the price of gold, silver, platinum and other commodities. Thank David Rosenberg, the best informed, clearest thinker on Wall Street (Gluskin Sheff) for that strong sure view. Anyway, you missed the first 3% ride in commodities as the market began discounting QE2. last week.
QE2 will have a boomerang effect on the middle class. It will raise the price of wheat, sugar, coffee, poultry, beef, pork, raising their cost of living, reducing their disposable income. Just the opposite that Bernanke intends. Horrors!
No surprise. Students of the Fed like the reputable daily commentator Rosenberg (formerly of Merrill Lynch) have been monitoring how the Fed chairman has been dreadfully wrong in his prescriptions for the economy since 2007. (see below step-by-step mistakes in policy). Therefore, the odds are good the Fed will not be able to find the formula out of stagnation and lower stock prices.
This is a market completely based on a wing and a prayer; wishful thinking that another $1 trillion or so in Quantitative Easing after Nov. 3 will make common stocks go up, create jobs, and ignite economic growth.
You can ride stocks until the election and then sell them short, George Soros, the wiliest trader in the business, is advising privately. Sell them short, because it is unlikely the Fed’s QE2 implementation will do anything more than reduce the cost of borrowing money to buy a house or a car.
Rosenberg backs Soros, calling the current rally “a complete money illusion–the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all being priced in ever-devalued US dollars.”
You want to rate Bernanke?
Here goes;
In April, 2007 he predicted that the subprime disaster would not spread throughout the housing market. He was devlishly wrong.
August 7,2007; The Fed chairman was concerned about getting inflation to moderate. He should have been concerned about deflation, deleveraging and deficits . Got the downside risk to the US dead wrong.
In 2009 Bernanke predicted a sustained growth rate of 3.5-4.8% real GDP growth for 2011, and unemployment of 7.7-8.5%.
No wonder there are regional Fed chieftans who are doubtng the wisdom of QE2. Driving down the yield on 10 year treasuries to 2% from 2.40% ain’t got no magic elixir.
The soaring gold price has been causing headaches in the jewellery industry this month, with volatile price changes causing problems for suppliers and retailers, and confusion among consumers.
Philip Newman, director of research at precious metals consultancy GFMS, said the constantly changing price is likely to cause pricing dilemmas for retailers. He said: “One of the big problems for independent retailers is the volatile price. Items bought at different times could have different prices, or customers may return to find they now have to pay a higher price for the same item. This all causes confusion and the retailer has to either pass on the cost to the customer or decrease their margins.”
Full Orosur Mining profile here Orosur Mining Inc. is a gold producer and exploration company focused on identifying and developing gold projects in Latin America. The Company is a fully integrated mining company, possessing the skills necessary to explore and develop its discoveries. The Company operates the only producing gold mine in Uruguay (San Gregorio), and has assembled an exploration portfolio of high quality assets in Uruguay,Chile and Argentina.
Cash costs at the San Gregorio mine in Uruguay are falling South America focused gold miner Orosur Mining (LON:OMI, TSX-V:OMI) moved decisively into profit during the first quarter of the financial year thanks to a sharp rise in the value of the precious metal.
The company, which has operations in Uruguay and Chile, posted net income of US$3.5 million for the three months to August 31 compared with a loss of US$2.16 million a year earlier.
Cash costs from its only gold producing asset – the San Gregorio open pit in Uruguay – fell to US$839 an ounce from US$880, while production was steady at 12,937 ounces.
The average price the company received for its gold production jumped to US$1,216 an ounce from US$912.
Orosur has almost US$11 million of cash – up from US$8.7 million a year ago – which means it has the funds to finance its current exploration programme.
Production costs will tumble significantly once the company brings into production the Arenal Deeps project, adjacent to San Gregorio.
The Arenal Deeps feasibility study, carried out by Amec, is a conservative assessment of the cash costs (US$545 per ounce) and the gold payable (135,000 ounces in total) and doesn’t take account of the silver that will be mined.
However the real excitement is provided by the Chilean properties acquired as part of the Fortune Valley deal.
Chief among them is the Pantanillo project that comprises 11,750 of hectares optioned from Anglo-American.
It is located in the Maricunga Belt, an area rich in gold which is home to 60 million ounces of the metal.
First phase drilling has defined a maiden JORC resource of 1.05 million ounces at Pantanillo Norte, a small part of the total exploration area, and a second phase aims to build on this early impressive progress.
“Right now we have targeted the oxidized and mixed portion of the deposit and have confirmed (a resource of) 1 million.
“(Former owners) Kinross and Anglo were heading for two or three, so we will keep going and our objective of the next drilling campaign is to evaluate the deeper sulphide mineralisation which we believe is a significant exploration target” Ignacio Salazar, the company’s chief financial officer, said in a recent interview with Proactive Investors.
A scoping study on Pantanillo began in June and will be completed by the end of the year.
“The study will look at the project and what we want to get from Pantanillo - whether we will concentrate on the oxide, or go for something bigger,” Salazar said.
A programme due to get underway by the end of the year will look also at other areas on the Pantanillo property.
Orosur has another Chilean project, Anillo, which is next to Yamana’s El Penon gold-silver mine, which produces 400,000 gold equivalent ounces a year.
Outside that, the group is investigating potential high grade porphyry targets at Incahausi in Chile. Meanwhile, earlier this month the exploration “resulted in positive drill intercepts at Vaca Muerta in Uruguay.
“In summary, operations are well on track, exploration has been delivering both in Uruguay and Chile, and financing in the medium term can be covered with cash flow from operations and debt due to the strong gold price and the result of the cost savings efforts,” chief executive David Fowler told investors today.
“Looking forward, drilling will continue in Vaca Muerta, Pantanillo and Anillo and other targets during the fiscal year and the board will within the next month review and decide on Arenal Deeps."
The junior gold miner hit a new 12-month high on London’s AIM market today. The stock has now doubled in value since the start of September. Orosur has been transformed over the past year, and these latest drill results provide further evidence of its expansion in South America.
Orusur Mining's Uruguay gold production is the cash machine to finance development of the Arenal Deeps and Pantanillo projects. Even after the spectacular performance of late, the stock is trading below the level it was a year ago – yet the company’s prospects have changed beyond recognition.
Engineer AMEC has begun work on a feasibility study that should be complete by the end of September at the latest. Fowler confirms that ‘development of this resource is expected to progressively reduce cash costs and extend mine life’.
Stratex shares have advanced over 40% in recent weeks, and this new farm-out deal with an international mining major is likely to stir up further interest in the AIM-listed gold junior. An AngloGold subsidiary has invested US$500,00o into Stratex and it can earn up to 70% of the Afar project in Ethiopia and Djibouti.
We look at the rapid progress being made by the company at Tulu Kapi, in Ethiopia, which has the capacity to become a world class gold project.
When the movers and shakers of mining and finance meet under one roof it can mean just one thing: the FINEX 2010 conference is about to get into full swing. Here we preview the event, which takes place on October 27 and 28 at the Geological Society, Burlington House, Piccadilly, and pick out some of the highlights.
The gold explorer has been trading strongly as interest surrounding its new Saudi Arabian venture hots up. Unveiling plans for a £625,000 cash call, managing director Jeffrey Rayner also gave a particularly bullish assessment of the company's prospects.
As you will see from our coverage earlier, Pan African is offloading a fringe asset in Ghana. Here we look at the company's transformation from promising junior to cash generating gold producer, which has seen it step up in class.
Cluff Gold's transformation from junior explorer to profitable, cash generating gold producer was underlined by a strong set of interim results today. The update also revealed the company's founder, Algy Cluff, is to relinquish the role of CEO and cede day-to-day control of the business to COO Peter Spivey.
Trading in Solomon Gold (LON:SOLG) reached fever pitch on London’s AIM market after the group revealed its Fauro Island Project has the potential to be a world class deposit.
Solomon Gold topped the London Stock Exchange leaderboard today, with its shares still up 62% at midday after the company announced that assay results from sampling on its wholly owned Fauro Island project indicated a world class gold deposit.
With established expertise in Turkey, and a rapidly growing awareness of both precious and base metals potential in Saudi Arabia, Kefi Minerals are well placed to go places.
The 2010 drilling programme is designed to expand on Olcha's maiden JORC resource and initial results demonstrate the project's significant potential. According to Davy's resource analyst Job Langbroek, the latest grades ‘comfortably achieve commercial status’.
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It seems like it was a short month ago that UniCredit's Jochen Hitzfeld, the most accurate gold forecaster tracked by Bloomberg in the last three quarters, raised his 2011 gold forecast from $1,250 to $1,400. Actually it was (link here). That target price lasted all of one month: earlier today the UniCredit analyst again revised his 2011 gold target price, this time to $1,500. As core revision catalysts UniCredit continues to see a "strong increase in investor demand" but the main driver will be continued risk aversion to "massive government stimulus measures" which have fuelled expectations of higher inflation further down the road. In other words, nothing major, just fine tuning. On the other hand, if China finally relents and admits it is indirectly hoarding gold, look for $2,000 to be the next Unicredit 2011 revised target.
"China exports grow less than forecast in September; trade surplus narrows: state media http://on.mktw.net/9Jvpfb"
9:22 p.m. EDT, Oct. 12, 2010 from MarketWatch
"Hong Kong stocks track other Asia bourses higher; Hang Seng Index up 0.7% http://on.mktw.net/aKU63m"
9:06 p.m. EDT, Oct. 12, 2010 from MarketWatch
"Japanese stocks gain, with tech and auto shares higher; Nikkei Average up 1% http://on.mktw.net/drNU3T"
7:04 p.m. EDT, Oct. 12, 2010 from MarketWatch
"Intel reports 59% jump in profit, driven by solid corporate demand http://on.mktw.net/dtZrNx"
3:24 p.m. EDT, Oct. 12, 2010 from MarketWatch
"U.S. stocks end higher after minutes show Fed is prepared to take additional easing steps http://on.mktw.net/cZXDNE"
3:04 p.m. EDT, Oct. 12, 2010 from MarketWatch
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CANBERRA (Dow Jones)--Goldman Sachs Tuesday announced upward revisions for its gold price forecasts to $1,400 an ounce, $1,525/oz and $1,650/oz on three-, six- and 12-month horizons, respectively.
Spot gold at 0020 GMT was bid ...
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